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Last
Updated: Fri May 16 04:19:50 UTC 2008
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Frequently
Asked Questions
Air Power Australia
(Under Construction)
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©
2005 Carlo Kopp, Peter Goon
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How can the RAAF leadership and the
Department of Defence get it so wrong when it is their job to plan and
manage Australia's air power?
The Australian Defence Organisation (ADO)
has suffered an unprecedented loss of talented personnel over the last
decade. This is partly the result of poorly managed outsourcing,
indiscriminate downsizing, the migration of skilled capabilities
following the outsourced work into the private sector, the forced early
retirement of much of a generation of exceptionally talented air force
senior officers and airmen, but also the result of the stifling
bureaucratic culture within the Russell Offices apparatus in Canberra.
As a result, the pool of talent within the Defence planning and
management system is very shallow, and what talent is available is
overcommitted, and often crippled by internal politics and
institutionalised groupthink.
Why are the APA website contributors
more knowledgeable than the Air Force and the Department of Defence?
APA contributors are not constrained by
the internal politics and culture of Defence and can tackle issues
without prejudice or preconceived bias. The APA contributor team also
includes some very unique talent, most of whom must, at present, stay
behind the scenes for reasons of survival in the institutionalised
groupthink environment of the Australian defence community. Some have
been told their career prospects would be jeopardised or they may have
their employment terminated if they contribute to and engage in
discussions with APA or its founders.
As to the current face of APA, its founders - Dr
Carlo Kopp has 25 years of experience as a defence analyst, 20 years
of experience as an engineer in industry, and two hard sciences
postgraduate degrees - he is the only academic in Australia today with
concurrent academic appointments in hard sciences and military strategy
- the APA website alone hosts over 250 of his publications; Peter Goon served as an engineer in the RAAF
for 14 years, underwent Flight Test Engineer training at the US Naval
Test Pilot School at Patuxent River followed by two back-to-back tours
at the RAAF's Aircraft Research and Development Unit (ARDU), is a
founding member of Australian Flight Test Services in Adelaide, a
founding member of the Defence Teaming Centre (DTC), which he served as
a Director/Deputy Chairman for many years, while becoming a leading
contributor to the defence industry reform process. Other APA
contributors and reviewers include retired parliamentarians, retired ADF
generals, academics in strategic studies, and other former ADF, DoD and
defence contractor personnel.
Why is it that so few people in
Australia know about this issue?
While Australians have historically
displayed tremendous support for their fighting men and women, few
Australians take an active interest in ADF military capabilities and
Defence management and planning. Much of the public debate on the future
of the RAAF has played out to date in the professional and industry
journals, and in parliament. While there has been some excellent
coverage in the broadsheets (newspapers), the electronic media such as
television and radio have displayed little interest in issues which are
seen to be complex and technical, and this one is no exception.
Editorial choices are typically driven by what editors perceive to be
consumer demand, and the future of Australia's strategic position in the
Asia-Pacific cannot compete with political scandals, Tsunamis, terrorist
bombings, foreign wars and other gory attention grabbers. While there
are many former ADF personnel who are deeply concerned about these
matters, tradition and convention is that former ADF officers do not
engage in vocal public debates - unlike in the United States - as a
result of which the Australian public does not gain the benefit of their
tremendous experience and insight.
Why are the Australian media not
doing something about this issue?
The media provide materials which reflect
perceived demand by the consumers of the product and usually complex
long term defence force planning issues will not receive space or
broadcast time when other material which is more sensational appears, as
it does with monotonous regularity. With the exception of a small
handful of journalists who appreciate the gravity of these issues, and
have the background to appreciate the problems involved, much of the
press corps and broadcast media community is confronted with an issue of
considerable technical complexity, while having to deal with frequently
unsympathetic editors focussed on short term ratings and quarterly
revenue.
Will purchasing more modern
aircraft make Australia look like a regional aggressor?
The simple answer: most of our neighbours
will see such a move by Australia as ensuring our ability to make a
valuable contribution to the maintenance of stability in the region. For
those few who may use the 'regional aggressor' label, such a move is
intended to quell the intent behind the use of such inflammatory
diplomacy. A more detailed answer follows.
The detailed answer: Asia is at this time engaged in a creeping arms
race of historically unprecedented proportions, as a result of
increasing national wealth and per capita income, itself produced
by globalisation driven industrialisation. China and India are
purchasing hundreds of advanced Russian Sukhoi fighters, and modern
Airborne Early Warning and Control surveillance aircraft, aerial
refuelling tankers, modern submarines and warships, and a wide range of
missiles, including subsonic and supersonic cruise missiles. Other
regional nations, including Indonesia, Vietnam and Malaysia, have
purchased advanced Russian Sukhoi fighters and other supporting
hardware. In a region arming itself to the teeth, Australia is the 'odd
man out' with its current program aimed at actively downsizing the Air
Force. Given Australia's small population compared to its Asian
neighbours, and the very small size of the ADF, no amount of military
investment within Australia's reach would make it a genuine 'aggressor'
threat to any Asian nation.
The notion that Australia would appear to be an aggressor by putting
more investment and more capability into the Air Force is little more
than left wing or foreign political propaganda. The fact is that
Australia having a capable air power force structure enables us to
provide a valuable contribution along with our neighbouring allies to
the maintenance of stability in the region.
How can 30 year old F-111 airframes last
another 30 years?
The simple
answer: aircraft are machines, not people. The 'age' of an aircraft's
airframe structure is primarily measured by the number of hours it has
flown compared with the life for which it was designed to operate.
After some 30 years, the F-111 airframe structure is just over half way
into its original design life, before any consideration of life
extension which is normal for RAAF aircraft.
The detailed answer: the US
Air Force currently plan to fly their forty year old B-52H
Stratofortress fleet for another 40 years, and their twenty year old
B-1B Lancer bombers for another 40 years. The prospects are very good
that the thirty five year old C-5 Galaxy fleet will serve at least
another twenty years, and many of the forty year old KC-135 tankers may
be flown another thirty years. In military aviation, the calendar age of
aircraft means very little - what determines their useful life is their
utility in doing the job for which they are tasked, the systems they
carry, their accrued flying time and thus fatigue damage to the
structure, and corrosion damage to the airframe.
Australia is very fortunate to have the F-111s, which have an
overdesigned airframe, originally stressed for landings and takeoffs on
aircraft carriers. The principal fatigue issue with the F-111s lies in
the integrity of some parts of the aircraft's 'swing' wing. Fortunately,
it takes only about a day to swap the wings on an F-111, which means
that a robust stock of refurbished wings could permit the aircraft to be
kept in service for decades at a very economical cost. Around 200 F-111s
remain mothballed in the US AMARC facility. Most of the avionics and
wiring in the F-111 fleet were replaced during a billion dollar avionic
upgrade that was completed in 1999, therefore the only long term avionic
issues would arise from the need to upgrade systems to remain
competitive in combat - an ongoing issue for combat aircraft of any age
today. The existing pool of TF30 turbofan engines will last comfortably
until 2020, if life extension beyond that date is required new engines
could be readily adapted, as the existing engines (and, therefore, the
engine bays of the F-111) are larger than their modern replacements.
What is wrong with our
F/A-18 Hornets and why can't we keep them?
Australia's fleet of 71
F/A-18A Hornet fighters faces genuine difficulties and upcoming crises
in the not too distant future.
The first problem lies in the aircraft's tactical viability since it is
being used both as an air superiority fighter and as a strike fighter.
Newer Russian Sukhois operated in the region are larger, faster, more
agile, longer ranging, and equipped with bigger radars and longer
ranging missiles. Russian industry is introducing a new generation
of supersonic cruise engines, compatible with the Sukhoi fighters, and
is working on a new generation of electronically steered radars -
neither of these technologies can be retrofitted to the F/A-18A
which is at the end of its evolutionary growth path.
The second problem Australia has with its F/A-18A fleet is the accrued
fatigue damage on the airframes - a byproduct of Australia using the
F/A-18A in roles for which the US used the higher performance F-15 and
F-14 during the Cold War. To maintain the F/A-18A in service until the
2015 period, much of the fleet is expected to require structural
rebuilds, specifically centre barrel replacements. Replacing a centre
barrel requires the removal of the forward and aft fuselage sections,
removal of the wings, and gutting of the centre barrel wiring, plumbing
and systems. The result is a very expensive rebuild which takes about 12
months to do, yet delivers little more than additional safe structural
life in an aircraft which has already been outclassed by its regional
competitors.
Why is Australia the only country in
the world to be still flying F-111s?
The United States Air Force
and the RAAF were the only two services to ever operate the F-111, as
the UK cancelled its order during the 1960s. The US intended to operate
their F-111s past 2015 and to that effect initiated an ambitious series
of upgrades during the late 1980s and early 1990s. A project to retrofit
the modern GE F110 engine, common to the F-16C and F-14D, was also
initiated. The collapse of the Soviet Union however forced the largest
downsizing of the US Air Force since the end of WW2, and the F-111 fell
victim to this, as only the newest fighter types (F-15/F-16) were
retained in service - were the F-111 retained, the production lines for
the F-15E and F-16C would have closed early. Unlike Australia the US has
an imperative to maintain its industrial base. The US Air Force operated
the F-111F until 1996, but intended to retain the EF-111A Raven much
longer. The latter was however retired in 1999 after a long running
argument over whether its jamming mission should be retained or not. The
decision to retire it early and push the role it performed on the Navy
EA-6B fleet has simply led to burning out the airframe life of the
EA-6Bs. More recently it was decided that B-52H bombers will have to be
converted to fill the jamming mission gap arising from EF-111A
retirement. Australia decided to retain the F-111 during the 1990s
as the aircraft delivers exceptional range performance and thus each
F-111 can typically do the job of two or more smaller fighters and an
aerial refuelling tanker. The late 2003 decision to prematurely retire
the F-111 was driven by internal competition over funds within the
Canberra DoD.
Why is the F-111 so suitable for
helping to defend Australia and for helping to keep the peace in our
region of the world?
The F-111 is a robust and very
fast fighter-bomber which carries typically twice or more the internal
fuel of other fighter jets, as a result of which it typically delivers
twice the combat radius, usually with twice the payload of weapons.
Therefore it provides a lot of punch in a single aircraft, with only a
two person crew. Australia's defence environment is driven by the
'tyranny of distance' and a long legged aircraft like the F-111 offers
exceptional economies in terms of the dollar cost to deliver a given
payload of smart bombs or cruise missiles to a given distance. Since
Australia invested during the 1990s hundreds of millions of dollars into
an extensive support infrastructure at RAAF Amberley, near Brisbane, the
RAAF was provisioned to maintain the F-111 indefinitely - and largely
independently.
Why is the F-111 so difficult to
properly replace?
The F-111 was designed at the
peak of the Cold War to meet an unusually tough performance
specification, both in terms of what payload of weapons it could deliver
to what distance, and in terms of achieving high speeds in combat. As a
result it is one of the largest and highest performing tactical fighters
ever built, the nearest equivalent in size being the Russian MiG-31
Foxhound. No tactical fighter built since the F-111 can match its
range and weapon payload. The planned FB-22A, a derivative of the
F-22A, may be developed as a direct replacement in the class of the
F-111. Until an FB-22A enters production - which may or may not occur -
replacing the combat effect of each F-111 will require the operationally
much more expensive use of multiple smaller fighters and aerial
refuelling tankers.
Can an F-111 escape from a Sukhoi
Su-27/30?
The Sukhoi T-10 family of
fighters (Su-27, Su-30, Su-35, Su-37) are amongst the highest performing
combat aircraft in service today. A modified T-10 protoype beat several
performance records set by the equivalent US F-15 fighter during the
late Cold War period. The F-111 is however the fastest combat aircraft
in squadron service of any Western air force at this time, and carries
almost twice the internal fuel of the Sukhoi. In a hypothetical
tailchase engagement where a Sukhoi Su-27/30, equipped with current
Al-31F series engines, is pursuing an F-111, unless the Sukhoi enters
the engagement at a range close enough to take a missile shot, odds are
that the F-111 will run the Sukhoi out of gas before it can close to the
distance required to take a shot. This hypothetical scenario does not
account for the effect of jamming equipment on the F-111 which may
successfully defeat the Sukhoi's radar or missile seekers. It is worth
observing that good tactics would never see an F-111 flown into close
proximity of a Sukhoi, and in comparison, the F/A-18A (or JSF) has no
chance of outrunning the much faster Sukhoi fighter in a similar
scenario.
Why choose the Joint Strike Fighter as
the RAAF's future fighter when it cannot beat Russian designed
Sukhoi fighter being purchased by regional nations?
The simple
answer: mistakes were made by some individuals, no longer in the
Department, who laid the foundations of this decision. The
decision has now been inherited by the current leadership, who find
themselves in the politically difficult position of how to advise their
political masters that mistakes have been made without getting it in the
neck.
The detailed answer: the
defacto commitment to purchase the Joint Strike Fighter is predicated on
several assumptions, none of which hold up to scrunity.
- The first assumption is
that Australia will spend the next four decades in a region which is
wholly benign and thus the only use to be found for the RAAF will be in
supporting US led coalition bombing campaigns against Third World
opponents - this assumption is not supportable as it ignores the
enormous changes happening across the region.
- The second assumption is
that the stealth capability of the JSF will confer complete invisibility
to all opposing radars, from all angles. Given that the JSF's stealth
capability is narrowly optimised against battlefield air defence radars,
and Australia is expected to get only the 'detuned' export quality
stealth package, this assumption is also unsupportable.
- The third assumption is
that Australia will be the only nation in the region operating modern Airborne Early Warning and Control
(AEW&C) surveillance aircraft, and will thus have a perpetual
assymetric advantage in knowing an opponent's disposition, while the
opponent knows nothing. Given that India has ordered AEW&C aircraft
with a variant of the radar bid to Australia five years ago, and China
is developing a similar system, while Malaysia is shopping for an
AEW&C system and evaluating the same type Australia has bought, odds
are that regional nations without AEW&C aircraft will be the
exception. This assumption is also unsupportable.
- The fourth assumption is
that air combat will be dominated by Beyond Visual Range missile shots,
in which it is assumed that the opponent will not try to use an
advantage in speed and cooperate in letting himself be shot down. This
assumption is also not supportable.
- The fifth assumption is
that the selection of a second tier capability and the resulting
downgrading of the technological advantage Australia has historically
had in relation to regional technological capabilities is a safe choice.
The view expressed frequently within the Department is that our training
is superior and, in itself, a force multiplier of capability not to be
trifled with - an argument of immense popularity in 1941 when Australia
flew Wirraways and Japan A6M2 Zeroes. When combined with the almost
religious fervour with which the 'system of systems' approach is
advocated in capability development, it is this superior training that
is believed will offset any reductions in Australia's technological
capability edge. Since future conflicts will be techologically based,
this projection must be tested against the proliferation of advanced
military technologies in our region. This assumption is thus also
not supportable.
- The sixth assumption is
that 'all will be well' because the 'system of systems' approach means
the 'capability of the networked system is greater than the sum of its
individual parts'. This flowery hyperbole wilts in the face of the
following truisms - 'a chain is only as strong as its weakest link',
'the more complex the system, the more complex the failure', and 'For
the want of a nail, the shoe was lost, etc.'. This assumption is
also not supportable.
At the time of the JSF decision, developing regional trends were not
considered in detail, and it was assumed that the JSF would be more
agile and much faster than it is expected to be now.
There is no rational strategic or operational reason why the JSF
should be chosen over the F-22A as a replacement for the F/A-18A.

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Would the acquisition of the JSFs make
Australia a more useful ally to the US and enable Australia to support
US troops during overseas deployments?
There is no doubt that the JSF
will be compatible with US expeditionary forces deployed on the global
stage. However, the US will have no shortage of its own JSFs to perform
the battlefield strike and close air support roles the JSF is being
designed to excel in, so any Australian JSFs so deployed would simply
add a burden to US aerial refuelling demands for little additional
return in combat effect. Australia would provide a far more valuable
contribution to such coalition campaigns were it to deploy types of
assets which are in short supply in the US force structure. The
best examples are top tier fighter bombers, which are far more flexible
than smaller strike fighters like the JSF, but also require much less
aerial refuelling support to be effective. Were Australia to operate the
F-22A Raptor and upgraded F-111s, it could offer the US much more
punch, without the cost of additional aerial refuelling support, which
the JSF (and F/A-18A) demand.
Why has the JSF been fitted with only
one engine? Is this a disadvantage for operations across the wide
open spaces of Australasia?
The JSF has defined during the
early 1990s with the intention of producing a low cost fighter-bomber
suitable for attacking battlefield targets and supporting ground troops
in combat. One of the requirements was that the JSF replace the US
Marine Corps fleet of Short Take Off / Vertical Landing AV-8B Harriers,
deployed on amphibious assault ships to support beachhead landings. As a
result, a twin engine design would be too large for this application,
and would present difficulties with vertical landings. The use of single
engine was considered an acceptable compromise, since the most numerous
US Air Force JSF variant would not be required to fly long distance
missions, and the Marine Corp variant would also operate at shorter
ranges. Australia has entirely different operational needs, as most
roles involve long range or long endurance missions over the sea air
gap. While modern engines are very reliable, the loss of the engine over
water guarantees the loss of the JSF, and also requires that the
Navy commit search and rescue assets to support any operational
deployment of JSFs.
Why is it an advantage for the F-111s and
F-22s to have twin engines?
Twin engines provide superior
flight safety in long range or over water operations, as the loss of one
engine does not guarantee the loss of the aircraft, although it is apt
to cause the mission to be aborted. For Australia's geography this is
likely to result in a smaller number of lost aircraft during decades of
peacetime training, but also a better ability for these aircraft to
survive battle damage over a target and recover to home base to be
repaired. It also reduces demands on Navy warships to be available to
rescue aircrew in the event of engine failure, and thus become exposed
to enemy air attack.
Why is it advantageous during defence
missions around Australasia to have two crew sitting side by side as in
the F-111s?
Aircraft with two seat
cockpits have historically been favoured for long endurance or long
range missions, as this allows the crew members to take turns flying the
aircraft, reducing the fatigue experienced by the crew. Fatigue is
a major contributor to accidents, and has been implicated in at least
one recent friendly fire incident involving a single seat fighter.
In general, a two seat crew provides redundancy, it allows cockpit
workload to be shared, and allows crew members to check each others'
actions in high pressure situations, thus contributing to flight safety.
Would it be an unusually strenuous
task for a single JSF pilot to fly very long distance and then be able
to fly the aircraft offensively, as well as navigate and manage the
deployment of weapons or surveillance systems?
The JSF has a highly automated
single seat cockpit, and sets a benchmark for cockpit design. This
reduces the cockpit workload compared to any existing single seat
fighter, other than F-22A, which has similar automation. However,
automation cannot substitute for human cognitive skills, and fatigue
incurred on long endurance missions will degrade pilot performance.
Without a second crewmember to share the workload, the single JSF pilot
is likely to be more prone to mistakes in such situations.
What kind of aircraft are China,
India, Malaysia and Indonesia getting that would threaten Australia or
the general peace in our region of the world?
Since the end of the Cold War
Russia has been progressively exporting almost every piece of modern
technology in its inventory, an unprecedented departure from the Cold
War era policy of exporting 'dumbed down' variants of systems to client
states. Recent exports or exports under consideration include:
- Sukhoi Su-27SK, Su-30MK
fighters, and possibly Su-35 derivative fighters.
- MiG-29N Fulcrum fighters.
- Sukhoi Su-27IB/32/34
Fullback long range strike fighters.
- Chinese built Chengdu
J-10 delta-canard fighters use key Russian components.
- Ilyushin Il-78MK Midas
aerial refuelling tankers.
- Variants of the Beriev
A-50 Mainstay Airborne Early Warning and Control aircraft.
- Tupolev Tu95MS Bear
cruise missile carriers, with the range to reach central Australia
without aerial refuelling, and likely to be exported to China.
- Tupolev Tu-22M3 Backfire
bombers, with the range to reach northen Australia without aerial
refuelling, and likely to be exported to China.
- In addition, a wide
range of air to air missiles, standoff missiles, cruise missiles and
smart bombs have been exported.
- Raduga Kh-55 Kent cruise
missiles (Tomahawk-ski) were also illegally exported to China by the
Ukraine in 2001.
While no regional nation has a
stated agenda or intent to harm Australia at this time, agendas and
intent can change over time, and Australia having a visible disadvantage
in military capabilities against the rest of the region could produce
irresistable temptation to coerce Australia at a future date.
The greatest issue of concern
in this region is the enormous growth under way in China's military
capabilities, especially China's active pursuit of strategic bombing and
strategic cruise missile delivery capabilities.
Why is the F-22 Raptor the best
choice to replace the F/A-18 Hornets?
The Defence 2000 White Paper
states the following as to when the Hornets should/need to be replaced:
"8.43
Third, we need to address the future of our air-combat capability after
the F/A-18 aircraft reach the end of their service life between 2012 and
2015. It is important to start to address this issue now." (Page
86)
"8.48
Fourth, the Government will examine options for acquiring new combat
aircraft to follow the F/A-18, and potentially also the F-111. Provision
has been made in the Defence Capability Plan for a project to acquire up
to 100 new combat aircraft to replace both the F/A-18 and F-111 fleets.
Acquisition is planned to start in 2006-07, with the first aircraft
entering service in 2012. The Government has specifically made financial
provision to allow acquisition of high-performance aircraft to provide
the basis for the maintenance of Australia's critical air-combat edge
well into the twenty-first century. Much work remains to be done over
the next few years to define and refine our requirements, and to
establish the optimum balance between capability and numbers. That time
will also allow better evaluation of a number of competing aircraft
types." (Page 87)
The simple answer is as soon
as practicable and preferably before we spend the billions of
dollars that are earmarked for upgrading the Hornet to enable it to fly
through to 2015.
The following are the top ten
reasons why the Raptor is the best choice to replace the Hornets in 2010
- GREATER CAPABILITY BETTER SUITED TO
AUSTRALIA'S NEEDS
The F-22A is over twice as capable compared to
what is being planned as the JSF.
- MORE COST EFFECTIVE
Buying the F-22 and upgrading the F-111s will be a cheaper yet more
capable solution to the current plans.
- BETTER DEFINED AND EARLIER SCHEDULE (NO
RISK OF CAPABILITY GAP)
Buying the F-22 at the end of the currently approved full rate
production would put the buy before 2010.
- LESS TECHNICAL AND FINANCIAL RISK
The F-22 is a known commodity that is flying today. The JSF has
yet to fly let alone complete development and demonstrate its capability.
- MAINTAINING STRATEGIC POSITION AND
RELEVANCE IN THE REGION
The survivability of the JSF against post 2010 Sukhoi Su-30 derivative
aircraft is highly problematic.
- DEVELOPING AUSTRALIAN DEFENCE INDUSTRY
By targeting return on investment already made in F-111 support
capabilities.
- LESS EFFECT ON BALANCE OF TRADE
Fewer tax payer dollars have to be spent off shore.
- BETTER LIFE CYCLE GROWTH CAPABILITY
The F-22A and F-111 are larger aircraft with greater system growth
potential.
- BETTER LONGEVITY AND RETURN ON INVESTMENT
The F-22A and F-111 are more robust airframe designs that have not
been subject to the 'Cost As an Independent Variable' (CAIV) driven cost
and capability reductions as is the case with the JSF.
- INDEPENDENCE, SELF RELIANCE AND VALUED
CONTRIBUTION TO DEFENCE OF THE REGION
The 'Evolved F-111 Option' ensures Australia maintains air superiority
and the resulting valuable contribution to stability in the region.
Some people say that the F-111 crew
module is unsafe when ejecting - is this true?
No, in fact the exact opposite
since if ejecting at high speed, the crew are protected from the air
blast by remaining in what is effectively the aircraft cockpit.
The safety statistics speak for themselves. Of the RAAF F-111
crashes where ejection had been initiated, only one resulted in
fatalities which was due to the initiation being outside the ejection
envelope. The crew module ejected correctly but there was
insufficient time for the parachutes to open.
How do we know that the authors of the
APA website are not Commos or have a vested financial interest on the
outcome of this issue?
As industry professionals and expert
analysts who pride themselves on their independence, one's work is and
must be, by definition, apolitical. By reading the material on the
web site, including our Biographies, you will see that our focus is on
the national interest.
We do have vested interests in the outcome of this issue, both from a
national interest perspective since we are dealing with the legacy that
we all leave future generations of Australians (aka 'our children') as
well as from a financial perspective since we have invested heavily in
the proposals provided to Defence and the Government in response to
their various requests of Industry to come up with innovative, cost
effective solutions to Australia's defence capability needs.
As to whether we see any return (financial or otherwise) on these
investments will depend greatly on whether Defence and the Government
honour their representations to Industry to recognise and reward
innovation, expert assistance and hard work as well as follow their
stated policy for the handling of proprietary information in proposals
from Industry - both requested and unsolicited.
Can an F-22A Raptor
defeat other aircraft including the Sukhoi?
The F-22A has an
unassailable advantage over all current combat aircraft by virtue of
having high performance all aspect stealth capability, supersonic
cruise capability, and the longest ranging radar in any current air
combat fighter. Should Russian Sukhois be retrofitted with supersonic
cruise engines, the F-22A will still maintain its advantage as the
Sukhoi has no stealth, a less capable radar, and its supercruise
persistence will be inferior to the F-22A. The only aircraft which
could challenge an F-22A is a supercruising fighter with similar
stealth and radar capabilities. Russia no longer has the capability for
the required investment to develop such a fighter and the supporting
stealth technology. The F-22A will be unbeatable for decades.
Why is the combination of the F-111
and the F-22 Raptor so well suited to Australia's needs?
The F-22A and F-111 are
mutually complementary in their capabilities.
The F-22A provides top tier air dominance capability against high
performance combat aircraft, and the ability to penetrate deep into
heavily defended airspace to kill high value aerial and ground targets,
including AEW&C aircraft, command bunkers, radars and missile sites.
The F-111 on the other hand provides enormous punch, as it can
typically carry twice the weapon load of smaller fighters to around
twice the distance. As the F-22A is the most effective aircraft in
existence for sanitising hostile airspace of fighters and defending
missile systems, it can rapidly degrade opposing defences to allow the
F-111 to deliver its superlative punch without hindrance against ground
targets.
The F-22A is thus an 'enabler' for the F-111, yet it also fills the
specialised deep strike role, and can perform reconnaissance as well.
If the F-111 is equipped with a suitable modern radar and missiles, it
also provides a very economical capability for cruise missile and bomber
intercept tasks, which were part of the original design requirement for
the F-111 airframe during the 1960s.
How long would Australia operate the
F-22 Raptor?
The Raptor is likely to remain
in US operational service past 2045. Therefore it is reasonable to
expect that any Australian operated F-22As would remain in service
until that date, unless some unanticipated and dramatic development in
technology forces earlier replacement with an even more capable aircraft.
Why wouldn't Australia acquire
Russian Sukhoi's?
Would you purchase your most
critical weapons system from a nation which is supplying much larger
numbers of the same product to your potential opponents? In any regional
crisis, there would be a genuine risk that Russia would be forced to
make a commercial decision and favour the larger client in the supply of
spare parts and materiel, and Australia would be one of the smaller
Asia-Pacific buyers of the Sukhoi. Accepting such an implicit conflict
of interest is not a sound strategy. Other more pragmatic problems also
arise. Operating the same system as an opponent means that you can
compete only in pilot skills and numbers, with numbers being more
important in long range missile combat. Australia is not in the position
to compete in numbers long term against any regional nation. Another
problem is compatibility with US datalinks, electronic warfare
equipment, and weapons, required for coalition operations. Integrating
such equipment with the systems and software in the Sukhois would
present genuine difficulties as neither the US or Russia would be happy
for each others' defence contractors to gain intimate access to such key
technologies.
Could the more efficient F119
engines used in the F-22A be fitted to the F-111 and would it be more
agile and more economical to run with these engines?
Retrofitting the F119/F135
family of engines in the F-111 does not present unusual difficulties
since the existing TF30 engine in the F-111 is much larger. These
engines are much cheaper to run than the TF30, and deliver almost twice
the available thrust. With and F119 or F135 engine installed, the F-111
would acquire significantly better acceleration, climb and speed
performance, and much better sustained turn performance. While this
would not turn the F-111 into a nimble dogfighter, it would provide a
sustained supersonic capability making the F-111 exceptionally difficult
to intercept by any fighter aircraft when performing strike roles, and
make it very usable as an interceptor to kill strategic bombers and
cruise missiles.
Why did we choose the JSF in the first
place? Why and when did it become wrong to uphold the decision to
acquire the JSFs?
See above. Arguably the
decision to downselect to the JSF was wrong in the first place, but
there was some margin of uncertainty in this judgement in 2002, a margin
which has well and truly evaporated over the last three years.
What is the best solution for Australia's
air force?
The best solution for
Australia would be a mix of F-22A Raptor multirole fighters and FB-22A
strike fighters, supported by proportionate aerial refuelling
capabilities. Unfortunately the FB-22A remains a paper aircraft, and
even if available it may not be feasible to take delivery until 2020 or
later. As a result, APA advocates a compromise solution, in which
55 F-22A Raptor aircraft would replace 71 F/A-18A Hornets, and the
F-111 would be upgraded and retained until the FB-22A becomes available,
or retained longer term if the FB-22A does not materialise. The
compromise model, termed the 'Evolved F-111' plan, is designed to be
cheaper than the current plan for the JSF, yet delivers far more
capability with far less risk and incurs lesser impact on the balance of
payments and annual defence budgets.
Why are we spending so much taxpayer's
money on maintaining the F/A-18 Hornets?
The simple answer:
because the F/A-18 Hornets will not last the distance (out to 2015)
without having a lot of money spent on them.
The more complete answer is because internal competition for funding
within the Defence apparatus was won by F/A-18A advocates, rather than
F-111 advocates with no proper consideration being given, let alone
rigorous analysis being done, at the time to the viability of either
airframe longer term, or the long term return on investment already made
in upgrading and supporting the F-111s.
Are we going to need to replace the centre
body of our F/A-18 Hornets as the Americans and Canadians have had to do?
Yes.
Is it treason to worry about and talk
about these issues?
Treason is typically
defined as the conscious and deliberate pursuit of activities intended
to damage or harm one's community, and favour an opponent. APA's
interest in strengthening Australia's strategic position in the region,
and effecting reforms in the dysfunctional Defence Department
bureaucracy cannot qualify as treason.
The question one needs to ask
is this: "Does the unquestioning acceptance of self destructive and
counter to the national interest behaviours and decisions on the part of
the Defence bureaucratic machine amount to patriotism?"
We might observe that the last two regimes which formally declared
patriotism to be equivalent to obedient compliance with bureaucratic
directives were the Third Reich (RIP 1945) and the Soviet Union (RIP
1991). Both of these regimes were characterised by institutionalised
groupthink and deep organisational dysfunction. Both ended badly at
enormous cost to their respective communities and the world community.
Is it treason or are we being traitors to
our country by putting the knowledge contained in the APA website and
these questions in the public domain?
All material posted on APA is
compiled from unclassified public domain materials. No classified
documents are used in the production of APA contributions. The editorial
board of APA reviews all contributions prior to posting, any material
which could impact national security is excised. The most sensitive
technical content available on APA typically pertains to Russian
equipment, and enhancing the national security of Russia or its regional
clients is not APA's agenda.
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