The Royal Australian Air Force
(RAAF) is the spearhead of the Australian Defence Force, and is the
most potent of the smaller air forces in the Asia Pacific region.
Formed in 1921, the RAAF played an important role in the WW2 Pacific,
North African and European campaigns, contributed to the UN effort in
Korea, and flew Canberra bombers during the Vietnam conflict.
Unlike many smaller air forces, which tend to develop force
structures and capabilities in a rather ad hoc fashion, the RAAF has a
very well refined doctrine which is used as the basis for force
structuring, where not compromised by funding difficulties. In this
respect, the paradigm followed by the RAAF is much closer to the USAF
model than is typical for a smaller Western air force.
This is an important distinction for EW suppliers operating in
or entering the Australian EW market - many product marketing failures
seen in Australia over recent years reflected vendor strategies based
upon European precedents - characteristically such failures usually
stem from a lack of understanding of the RAAF's basic doctrine and the
roles and missions which fall out of that doctrine. A precondition for
success in the Australian market is understanding that the client very
frequently does things for very good reasons - and has a depth of
doctrine and analytical ability to support the case.
RAAF Force Structure and EW
EW was not a high priority in Australian defence planning
until the late 1980s, when important shifts occurred in doctrinal and
strategic thinking. The 1991 Desert Storm campaign reinforced the
developing change in paradigm, and EW assumed a progressively more
important position within Australian defence planning. In the most
recent strategic document, the Defence 2000 White Paper (Australian
defence White Papers set out basic doctrine and force structure
planning objectives, typically for a period of around a decade), an
explicit commitment is made to upgrade the EW suite on the RAAF's
F-111.
Australian policy for many years is to acquire EW equipment
with full source code for the internal OFPs, to provide the means of
full domestic support and provision for QRC modifications in a crisis
situation should the need arise.
To best understand where future EW opportunities might lie, it
is useful to briefly explore the RAAF's force structure and its roles
and missions.
The RAAF has a fleet of around 100 tactical fighters,
comprising 82 Strike Reconnaissance Wing (Amberley) with F-111s and 81
Tactical Fighter Wing (Williamtown, Tindal) with F/A-18As.
Affectionately labelled Pigs, the F-111s are the RAAF's heavy
hitter and in many respects fulfill roles analogous to the B-52/B-1B
and F-15E in the USAF - they are to perform strategic strike, theatre
strike, interdiction, maritime strike, naval minelaying, SEAD/DEAD,
Battlefield Air Interdiction and Close Air Support, armed with the
GBU-10/12, GBU-24, AGM-84 Harpoon, sea mines, AGM-142 Popeye and in the
future, the GBU-31 JDAM and AGM-158 JASSM. A glide wing kit equipped
derivative JDAM-ER is in development, by Boeing-HdH in Melbourne.
Current planning envisages that the F-111 fleet, comprising 21
F-111C and 14 F-111G (former SAC FB-111A) aircraft, will remain in
service until at least 2020. While existing policy is to retire the
aircraft at that time, a favourable outcome from a major airframe
fatigue study in progress may yet see the aircraft operated longer,
creating significant long term avionic, engine and EW upgrade
opportunities. The current Block Upgrade Program involves the
progressive digitisation of the aircraft's complete avionic suite,
the most recent addition including VMEbus Bold Stroke style RISC
processors - a glass cockpit is also a future possibility.
The F/A-18A was acquired in the mid-1980s as a replacement for
the Mirage, to perform as an air superiority fighter, air defence
fighter, and to supplement the F-111 fleet in performing interdiction,
maritime strike, Battlefield Air Interdiction and Close Air Support. As
the aircraft is Australia's only air superiority fighter, it
effectively subsumes the roles performed by the F-15C and F-16C in the
USAF, as well as the air to mud role which is the primary use of the
USN/USMC F/A-18C-D fleet. While the Bug is popular with RAAF pilots,
the aircraft's limited operating radius is poorly suited to the
Australian geographical environment - the Australian continent covers
an area comparable to the CONUS, with a large area of ocean to be
patrolled in wartime - in a region where Russian Backfires, cruise
missiles and the potent Su-27 and Su-30 are proliferating.
A major issue producing some uncertainty with the 71 strong
F/A-18A fleet is airframe fatigue life. This is because the aircraft is
much more frequently flown in high G air combat, in comparison with the
USN/USMC fleet, reflecting its different role in Australia. Current
planning is for the F/A-18A to be replaced, under the AIR 6000 fighter
replacement program, from 2012. Whether this retirement date can be
reached is unclear at this time - the F/A-18A is currently being
retrofitted with the APG-73, AIM-120 AMRAAM, AIM-132 ASRAAM, JTIDS, IFF
interrogator and new mission computers / displays under the AIR 5376
Hornet Upgrade Program (HUG).
The centrepiece of the RAAF's current force structure
expansion is the new Boeing 737 Wedgetail Airborne Early &
Control system, with the Northrop Grumman MESA/Tophat L-band phased
array radar/IFF system. Acquired under the AIR 5077 program, this
aircraft is a pocket AWACS providing a substantial portion of the
capability of an E-3 in a narrowbody twin package. The aim is to use
the Wedgetail in a similar role to the E-3, both for continental air
defence but also to support strike packages and expeditionary
deployments. Four of these aircraft are on order, with 3 options.
Concurrently the RAAF is planning to replace its four elderly
Boeing 707-338C tankers with a new generation aircraft, under the AIR
5402 program. Current planning appears to be centred on a medium sized
tanker, either based on the 767 or A330 airframe, with up to 5 aircraft
to be acquired. There is an ongoing doctrinal debate in progress over
the size and number of future tanker aircraft, as the planned number is
arguably inadequate for the stated RAAF capability goals in the 2000
White Paper.
The F-111C/G and F/A-18A are supported in maritime strike
roles by 19 P-3C/AP-3C Orion LRMP aircraft. The RAAF P-3Cs perform the
traditional P-3 ASW, ASuW and minelaying roles, but also provide a
substantial electronic reconnaissance capability - public reports
indicate that two aircraft were further enhanced with a SIGINT package.
The AP-3C fleet was fitted during the 1990s with the Elta ALR-2001 ESM
system, based on the EL/L-8300, which has been progressively upgraded
since its introduction.
While the USAF does not currently equip its AWACS and tanker
aircraft with EW suites, the RAAF plans to do so. While the loss of a
single AWACS or tanker would not significantly impact USAF fleet
strength, this is not the case for the RAAF, who are currently planning
EW packages for both fleets.
RAAF EW Programs
The events of the September 11 have created some difficulty in
exactly predicting how the RAAF's EW programs will evolve in the near
term. The possibility of expeditionary deployments to support the US
led coalition effort will produce pressure to field planned upgrades
faster, while operational expenditures will bite into the available DoD
budget. As the Australian DoD has defacto clamped down on all public
disclosures of any substance, pre September 11 public documents provide
the best indication of likely trends - with the caveat that some
unexpected shifts in timing and scope may arise.
The RAAF F-111C and F-111G fleet is undergoing a progressive
Block Upgrade Program which includes a significant EW component the
latter portions of which fall under the AIR 5416 program:
At the time of writing the configuration of the full F-111 EW
upgrade suite was yet to be disclosed. Public documents indicate that
the package will incorporate a new Radar Warning Receiver (RWR),
Defensive ECM (DECM) and Missile Approach Warning System (MAWS), with
A$150-200M allocated against a planned 2008/2009 IOC for an undisclosed
number of aircraft.
While a large investment has been made into developing the
ALR-2002A, it is unclear whether this RWR will eventually replace the
ALR-62 - the unique 6 channel architecture of the ALR-62 would require
a specialised derivative of an existing 4 channel RWR to fit the
F-111's antenna bays. The new DECM arrangement was originally planned
to be internal, to exploit the coverage provided by the ALQ-94/137
antenna bays - again it is unclear whether the replacement package will
be internal. Similar uncertainties surround the issue of MAWS
selection, indeed the budgetary allocation may not provide sufficient
funding for a MAWS concurrently with the vital RWR and DECM upgrades.
While a JTIDS installation for the F-111 was discussed at one stage, it
does not appear in current public documents.
Another interesting issue related to the F-111 is the
possibility of reviving some former USAF EF-111A Ravens stored at
AMARC, and fitting them with an ICAP-III derivative system. While a
strong strategic case exists for an RAAF EF-111A, the Australian DoD
has repeatedly balked at the perceived expense of recovering, operating
and upgrading some of these aircraft - no specific studies have been
disclosed.
Uncertainties also surround the future of planned F/A-18A EW
upgrades. Original planning for the AIR 5376 HUG included a replacement
for the early model ALR-67(V)2 and ALQ-126 defensive equipment, and
CMDS. Given some uncertainty about the achievable fatigue life of the
airframes, and the amortization period between originally planned EW
upgrade IOC and intended 2012 F/A-18 retirement, the case for a
comprehensive EW upgrade may be weak. Should the upgrade proceed, it is
likely the Australian ALR-2002B will be competed against a later ALR-67
variant.
The AIR 5077 Wedgetail AEW&C program is expected to
include a comprehensive EW ft, including ESM, CMDS and directed IRCM
system, with MAWS and RF jammer discussed at various stages. The
configuration has not been disclosed at the time of writing, although a
derivative of the ELta ALR-2001 ESM, common to the RAAF P-3C and RAF
Nimrod 2000 is to be used. It is most likely that a subset of the AIR
5077 Wedgetail EW package will be adopted for the AIR 5402 tanker fleet
to provide commonality across both types.
The centrepiece of the RAAF's EW planning is the restructured
AIR 5416 Echidna program (named after a spiny marsupial). This program
has a colorful history, originally it was planned to provide a common
EW suite for the F-111, C-130H/J, and Army S-70A-9 Blackhawk, CH-47D
Chinook helicopters - a complex and ambitious goal which inevitably
lead to delays and program restructuring. The AIR 5391 (F/RF-111C EW
Upgrade) and AIR 5394 (EWSP for ADF Transport Aircraft) coalesced in
1998 into AIR 5416, which was frozen in 2000 and then revived in 2001.
The domestically designed and built ALR-2002 RWR was to be the
mainstay of this program, if found capable of meeting specified goals.
Specialised variants built around a common core were to be fitted to
all of these platforms. The ALR-2002A (F-111C/G) underwent trials in
September 2000, the ALR-2002B (F/A-18A) has been form fit checked and
the ALR-2002D (S-70A) underwent antenna testing at RADC in September,
1999.
Summary
The RAAF is small by US standards, but in terms of capability
packs considerable punch for its size. EW has steadily grown in
priority, but funding pressures and the complexities of dealing with
block obsolescence of large portions of the aircraft fleet have
introduced delays and uncertainties into a number of long planned
upgrade programs, arguably exacerbated by the events following
September 11.
Despite these uncertainties, vendors will find some good
opportunities over the longer term since the RAAF has a stated intent
to provide defensive suites on most if not all of its aircraft types.
This produces a very different market model against other smaller air
forces - one which other air forces should observe very carefully.